Thursday, 8 January 2015

The current state of play

A few charts for those who follow this blog regularly:

Firstly, the U.S. dollar:

The U.S. dollar is butting-up against resistance on the monthly chart. This is obviously a big level and would dictate moves in other markets, depending on the outcome. Breaking through here could lead to further dollar gains.

If we pull-back, I would expect another test towards this level.


A rally occurred recently in gold, but seems to have died out (FED/Stocks) a little. $1250 is initial resistance to see if we can continue to $1400. Failure to get above here could see the next leg down for a low.


Oil is still weak. A weekly close under $50 and we may see lower 40s soon. A counter-trend rally should come soon in oil, which get all talking about a bottom. $35/40 is a good place for a bottom but we might not see significant oil gains again until 2016, or beyond...

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