Showing posts with label US dollar. Show all posts
Showing posts with label US dollar. Show all posts

Thursday, 8 January 2015

The current state of play

A few charts for those who follow this blog regularly:

Firstly, the U.S. dollar:


The U.S. dollar is butting-up against resistance on the monthly chart. This is obviously a big level and would dictate moves in other markets, depending on the outcome. Breaking through here could lead to further dollar gains.

If we pull-back, I would expect another test towards this level.

Gold:



A rally occurred recently in gold, but seems to have died out (FED/Stocks) a little. $1250 is initial resistance to see if we can continue to $1400. Failure to get above here could see the next leg down for a low.

Oil:



Oil is still weak. A weekly close under $50 and we may see lower 40s soon. A counter-trend rally should come soon in oil, which get all talking about a bottom. $35/40 is a good place for a bottom but we might not see significant oil gains again until 2016, or beyond...



Wednesday, 17 December 2014

USD/CAD update


The plunging oil price has knocked the wind out of the Canadian dollar and price is approaching a key zone; highlighted by the gold rectangle.

The top dotted line near 1.1800 signifies 'The last low before the high', which is often a strong support or resistance level. A breach of that resistance would clear the way for a run at 1.3000.